Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 31

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.32	3.15	2.72
	2.29	3.64	2.67
	2.33	3.66	2.73	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.63
	2.4	3.54	2.71
	2.54	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.47)	3.36 ↓ (3.52)	2.66 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
38.4%

Draw
27.2%

Ashton United
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.4%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Whitby Town - Ashton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Mampala M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 2, O'Neill M. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Charles J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Whitby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ashton Utd	10	3	3	4	12:11	1	12
15	Whitby	11	4	0	7	17:32	-15	12

Last Results with these Odds

Whitby Town - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Ashton United - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Whitby Town	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Whitby Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bamber Bridge - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWTT
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ashton United - Leek Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ashton United - Stockton Town	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Ashton United - Warrington Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.10.25	Ashton United - Whitby Town	1:4
18.01.25	Ashton United - Whitby Town	5:0
14.09.24	Whitby Town - Ashton United	1:2
29.03.24	Ashton United - Whitby Town	4:1
26.08.23	Whitby Town - Ashton United	1:3
21.02.23	Whitby Town - Ashton United	2:1
04.10.22	Ashton United - Whitby Town	0:1

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