The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ashton United 59.5%
Draw 22.1%
Matlock Town 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
21.1%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
19.9%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Ashton United - Matlock Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Hardy J. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 1, Ndlovu B. ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, Osei D. ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, Durose C. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ashton won 1.
Recent matches Ashton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Matlock is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Ashton have a series of guest games.
In this match Ashton is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Ashton won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-6.