The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida 9.5%
Draw 19.9%
Globo FC 70.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.7%
25.6%
57.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
25.2%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida's form might have worsened.
Globo FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Globo FC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Globo FC than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Globo FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Potiguar (Second stage ~ Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches ASSU won 1.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
ASSU could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
In this match Globo FC is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches ASSU won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-17.
Including matches at home between the teams ASSU won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.
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