Match Info

GREECE: Super League - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium (Tripoli)

Referee: Tsetsilas K. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 6
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Poland	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 4


	Asteras Tripolis		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5.25
	1.75	3.3	5
	1.86	3.23	4.62
	1.75	3.38	5.69
	1.82	3.29	4.71	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.79	3.52	4.77	Watch
	1.8	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.32 ↑ (3.19)	4.84 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis
52.4%

Draw
28.3%

Athens Kallithea
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

29.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

28.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Athens Kallithea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	26.3%	26.3%

Asteras Tripolis - Athens Kallithea Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Asteras Tripolis: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Papadopoulos N. (G) 2. Garcia R. 13. Triantafyllou K. 15. Deli S. 29. Alvarez F. 20. Kaltsas N. 5. Yablonskiy E. 22. Munoz Mumo 11. Xesc 7. Bartolo J. 41. Macheda F.	13. Barragan B. (G) 2. Mejias J. 58. Pasalidis T. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 14. Manthatis G. 23. Soiri P. 17. Ndiaye M. 8. Matilla J. 27. Vrakas G. 28. Valbuena M. 25. Loukinas G.
Substitutes
69. Alagbe O. 17. Alho N. 3. Chouchoumis D. 78. Dervishi M. 10. Gonzalez E. 16. Tsintotas P. (G) 8. Tzandaris T. 21. Tzimas P. 77. Zouglis N.	9. Alfarela M. 10. Demethryus 24. Gelios I. (G) 18. Giani E. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 11. Kainourgios N. 29. Mellado M. 26. Mercati A. 22. Mughe F. R.
Coaches
Pantelidis S.	Malezas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Kaltsas N. ⚽,
25', Xesc 🟨,
41', Vrakas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vrakas G. ↓, Demethryus ↑,
56', Soiri P. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
61', Yablonskiy E. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
69', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
74', Valbuena M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
74', Ndiaye M. ↓, Mercati A. ↑,
75', Bartolo J. ↓, Alagbe O. ↑,
80', Giani E. 🟨,
82', Kaltsas N. 🟨,
87', Mughe F. R. 🟥,
89', Mejias J. 🟨,
89', Tsivelekidis G. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
90', Xesc ↓, Chouchoumis D. ↑,
90', Kaltsas N. ↓, Alho N. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

Asteras Tripolis in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Athens Kallithea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Asteras Tripolis is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Asteras Tripolis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Last Results with these Odds

Asteras Tripolis - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
19.01.25	Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis	1:2 ✺
13.01.25	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	2:0 ✺
Greek Cup
08.01.25	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
05.01.25	Atromitos Athens - Asteras Tripolis	0:1 ✺
23.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWWW
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
18.01.25	Athens Kallithea - Volos	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	AEK Athens - Athens Kallithea	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Athens Kallithea - Lamia	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Panathinaikos - Athens Kallithea	1:0 ✺
16.12.24	Athens Kallithea - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
06.10.24	Athens Kallithea - Asteras Tripolis	1:3
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Asteras Tripolis - Athens Kallithea	0:0

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