Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium (Tripoli)

Referee: Papadopoulos I. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Poland	SportKlub
Usa	SportPlus


	Asteras Tripolis		Panetolikos

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.38	3.07	3.49
	2.19	3.18	3.41	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.28	3.08	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.03)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	3.33 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis
41.3%

Draw
30.6%

Panetolikos
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

30.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Asteras Tripolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Panetolikos will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Asteras Tripolis: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Papadopoulos N. (C) 3. Sipcic N. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 69. Alagbe O. 17. Alho N. 10. Gonzalez E. 68. Almyras C. 64. Deligiannidis P. 7. Bartolo J. 41. Macheda F. 40. Ketu K.	99. Kucherenko Y. (G) 35. Mavrias Ch. 2. Granath G. 16. Sielis C. 65. Apostolopoulos A. 14. Aleksic K. 18. Satsias G. 41. Bouchalakis A. (C) 19. Farley Rosa 10. Matan A. 9. Aguirre J.
Substitutes
61. Chatziemmanouil V. (G) 26. Chidera O. M. 2. Ivanov R. 20. Kaltsas N. 74. Laskaris D. 32. Mendieta J. 75. Mitrovic S. 22. Munoz Mumo 96. Simoni A. 4. Sylla I. 27. Tereziou A. 8. Tzandaris T.	25. Badji Y. 30. Bregou A. 22. Esteban Diego 31. Garcia J. 28. Kojic L. 70. Lenny Lobato 15. Manrique C. 71. Michalak K. 5. Mladen S. 77. Nikolaou E. 7. Smyrlis L. 12. Zivkovic Z. (G)
Coaches
Antonopoulos G.	Anastasiou G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Farley Rosa ⚽, Aguirre J. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Bartolo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Aguirre J. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Macheda F. ⚽, Bartolo J. (A),
64', Satsias G. ↓, Esteban Diego ↑,
64', Apostolopoulos A. ↓, Manrique C. ↑,
65', Almyras C. 🟨,
69', Alagbe O. 🟨,
72', Macheda F. 🟨,
80', Bouchalakis A. ↓, Smyrlis L. ↑,
80', Aguirre J. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
80', Aleksic K. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
81', Bartolo J. ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
81', Macheda F. ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
87', Chidera O. M. 🟨,
88', Kaltsas N. 🟨,
89', Farley Rosa (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Ketu K. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
90+5', Gonzalez E. ↓, Tzandaris T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Asteras Tripolis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Panetolikos: Garcia U. (Inactive) Manrique C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Chidera O. M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Panetolikos: Aleksic K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 8 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Asteras Tripolis: 0.66% Panetolikos: 0.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Panetolikos	6	3	0	3	8:9	-1	9
11	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Panetolikos - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 24.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
18.04.26	AE Kifisia - Asteras Tripolis	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEL Larissa	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	AEL Larissa - Asteras Tripolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLT
- Panetolikos
Greek Super League
18.04.26	Panetolikos - Panserraikos	2:3 ✺
08.04.26	AEL Larissa - Panetolikos	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Panetolikos - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Panetolikos - Panserraikos	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Panathinaikos - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
14.02.26	Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis	3:1
22.11.25	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	1:1
13.01.25	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	2:0
21.09.24	Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	3:1
Greek Super League
20.04.24	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	0:2
19.02.24	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	2:2

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