Match Info

GREECE: Greek Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium (Tripoli)

Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2


	Asteras Tripolis		Panionios

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	6.25
	1.53	3.84	6.23
	1.46	3.81	7.09	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.51	4.05	6.4	Watch
	1.48	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.76)	3.81 ↑ (3.52)	6.3 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis
61.4%

Draw
24%

Panionios
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Asteras Tripolis's performance.

Panionios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panionios might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Asteras Tripolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panionios than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Asteras Tripolis - Panionios Predictions

Users Predictions: Asteras Tripolis will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Tsintotas P. (G) 2. Garcia R. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 19. Castano P. 3. Chouchoumis D. 5. Yablonskiy E. 11. Xesc (C) 10. Palacios J. 8. Tzandaris T. 21. Tzimas P. 26. Chidera O. M.	99. Skafidas D. (C) 77. Venardos S. 47. Prifti J. 6. Poci A. 15. Nwgem J. 29. Czornomaz N. 98. Hrustinec J. 22. Gini D. 8. Stoupis G. 26. Cheryshev D. 9. Felipe Felicio
Substitutes
69. Alagbe O. 29. Alvarez F. 7. Bartolo J. 78. Dervishi M. 99. Kallanxhi C. 20. Kaltsas N. 41. Macheda F. 22. Munoz Mumo 1. Papadopoulos N. (G)	14. Alexandrakis G. 19. Gemistos G. 1. Giannakopoulos N. (G) 10. Grontis D. 7. Kolovos D. 80. Lafkas A. 11. Piergiacomi L. 70. Yakovlev I. 24. Zoulias T.
Coaches
Pantelidis S.	Nikopolidis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Czornomaz N. 🟨,
22', Stoupis G. 🟨,
36', Hrustinec J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Xesc ⚽, Chouchoumis D. (A),
50', Castano P. 🟨,
62', Felipe Felicio ↓, Gemistos G. ↑,
62', Cheryshev D. ↓, Kolovos D. ↑,
63', Chidera O. M. ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
63', Palacios J. ↓, Alagbe O. ↑,
63', Yablonskiy E. ↓, Bartolo J. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Nwgem J. (Own goal),
72', Prifti J. ↓, Yakovlev I. ↑,
73', Czornomaz N. ↓, Grontis D. ↑,
73', Xesc ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
80', Tzandaris T. ↓, Kallanxhi C. ↑,
86', Stoupis G. ↓, Alexandrakis G. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 4.

Recent matches Asteras Tripolis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Panionios is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Asteras Tripolis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Asteras Tripolis is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:15 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Asteras Tripolis won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:4 (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
05.01.25	Atromitos Athens - Asteras Tripolis	0:1 ✺
23.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	2:1 ✺
Greek Cup
18.12.24	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
14.12.24	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLL
- Panionios
Greek Super League 2
21.12.24	AEK B - Panionios	0:0 ✺
Greek Cup
18.12.24	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League 2
15.12.24	Egaleo - Panionios	1:2 ✺
09.12.24	Panionios - Panargiakos	4:0 ✺
Greek Cup
05.12.24	Panionios - Panserraikos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Cup
18.12.24	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis	0:2
Greek Super League
15.06.20	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	0:0
23.01.20	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	2:0
20.10.19	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis	0:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	1:0
Greek Super League
05.05.19	Asteras Tripolis - Panionios	3:0
30.01.19	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis	1:0

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