Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium (Tripoli)

Referee: Gamaris A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	SportKlub


	Asteras Tripolis		PAS Giannina

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	5	Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.95	Watch
	1.8	3.3	5.26
	1.75	3	4.4
	1.85	3.28	4.65	Watch
	1.78	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.04)	3.24 (3.24)	4.88 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis
52%

Draw
28.8%

PAS Giannina
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

29.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Asteras Tripolis's performance.

PAS Giannina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAS Giannina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Asteras Tripolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAS Giannina than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAS Giannina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	54.5%	0%

Asteras Tripolis - PAS Giannina Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Papadopoulos N. (G) 12. Carmona Sierra D. 19. Castano P. 87. Zukanovic E. 29. Alvarez F. 30. Grozdanic D. 8. Munafo J. 11. Xesc 7. Bartolo J. 40. Sito 9. Miritello J. B.	55. Kleyman B. (G) 2. Soria C. 4. Pantelakis E. 15. Erramuspe R. 3. Tsaousis M. 7. Gino F. 5. Karachalios Z. 23. Rienstra D. 14. Pamlidis G. 91. Balan C. 21. Tzimas P.
Substitutes
18. Atienza F. 3. Chouchoumis D. 45. Christopoulos G. 24. Diarra Y. 10. Fede 20. Kaltsas N. 14. Mantzis V. 33. Sgouris F. (G) 21. Sourlis V.	99. Athanasiou V. (G) 45. Bakadimas M. 10. Garro J. 30. Kiakos G. 17. Leo J. 80. Liasos A. 8. Lolis A. 24. Panagou K. 11. Rosero K.
Coaches
Rastavac M.	Staikos A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 1.

Asteras Tripolis is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Giannina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Asteras Tripolis is a favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 9 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Asteras Tripolis won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
03.09.23	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Asteras Tripolis - OFI	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	PAOK - Asteras Tripolis	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.23	Asteras Tripolis - Panserraikos	1:2 ✺
07.08.23	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLT
- PAS Giannina
Greek Super League
03.09.23	PAS Giannina - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
25.08.23	Panetolikos - PAS Giannina	0:0 ✺
20.08.23	PAS Giannina - AE Kifisia	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Panetolikos - PAS Giannina	2:1 ✺
04.08.23	PAS Giannina - Panserraikos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
06.05.23	PAS Giannina - Asteras Tripolis	1:0
18.02.23	Asteras Tripolis - PAS Giannina	1:1
31.10.22	PAS Giannina - Asteras Tripolis	2:1
Club Friendly
09.08.22	Asteras Tripolis - PAS Giannina	2:2
Greek Super League
02.02.22	Asteras Tripolis - PAS Giannina	2:0
31.10.21	PAS Giannina - Asteras Tripolis	1:1
Club Friendly
14.08.21	Asteras Tripolis - PAS Giannina	1:0

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