Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Zampalas S. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports 2


	Aris		Asteras Tripolis

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.69	3.55	5.4
	1.7	3.65	5.57
	1.60	3.65	5.41	Watch
	1.66	3.59	5.24	Watch
	1.79	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	5.31 ↓ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
56%

Draw
26.4%

Asteras Tripolis
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.3%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

17.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asteras Tripolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Aris - Asteras Tripolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 3 - 50%). Asteras Tripolis (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dioudis S. (G) 15. Tejero A. 24. Alvaro P. 20. Sonko Sundberg N. 27. Fadiga N. 10. Racic U. 8. Monchu (C) 18. Morutan O. 6. Galanopoulos K. 40. Sisto P. 80. Moron L.	1. Papadopoulos N. (G) 4. Sylla I. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 2. Ivanov R. 17. Alho N. 20. Kaltsas N. (C) 5. Yablonskiy E. 14. Chicco J. 40. Ketu K. 7. Bartolo J. 9. Gioacchini N.
Substitutes
19. Alfarela M. 33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 28. Dudu 17. Frydek M. 70. Gianniotas G. 25. Gning M. 21. Majkic L. (G) 77. Panagidis M. 7. Perez C. 92. Rose L.	71. Angelidis S. (G) 19. Castano P. 49. Charalampoglou G. 26. Chidera O. M. 11. Emmanouilidis D. 10. Gonzalez E. 32. Mendieta J. 29. Pomonis K. 3. Sipcic N. 16. Tsintotas P. (G) 8. Tzandaris T.
Coaches
Jimenez M.	Coleman C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Galanopoulos K. 🟥,
28', Gioacchini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sisto P. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
46', Triantafyllopoulos K. 🟨,
54', Sylla I. 🟨,
57', Alvaro P. 🟨,
64', Triantafyllopoulos K. ↓, Castano P. ↑,
64', Gioacchini N. ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
71', Morutan O. ↓, Panagidis M. ↑,
71', Moron L. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
76', Tzandaris T. 🟨,
76', Yablonskiy E. 🟨,
77', Racic U. 🟨,
79', Tzandaris T. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
81', Fadiga N. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
88', Castano P. 🟨,
90+2', Bartolo J. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 3.

Recent performances by Aris have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Asteras Tripolis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Asteras Tripolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aris has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aris is the team to beat.

There will not play in Aris: Dioudis S. (Injury) Dudu (Injury) Fabiano (Inactive) Frydek M. (Inactive) Kadewere T. (Injury) Mendyl H. (Injury) Misehouy G. (Inactive) Voriazidis M. (Injury)

There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Fernandez D. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
01.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Egaleo - Aris	1:3 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Levadiakos - Aris	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Aris - Panathinaikos	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	OFI - Aris	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTTL
- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
03.11.25	Asteras Tripolis - OFI	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Panathinaikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Asteras Tripolis - AE Kifisia	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Panserraikos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.08.25	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	2:1
Greek Super League
10.05.25	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	4:2
29.03.25	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	0:2
23.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	2:1
31.08.24	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	1:1
03.01.24	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	3:2
03.09.23	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	3:2

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