Match Info

Super League - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Panthessaliko Stadium (Volos)

Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2


	Volos		Asteras Tripolis

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.75
	2.13	3.15	3.97
	1.25	4.72	18.05	Watch
	2.12	3.24	3.69	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.81)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	5.98 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volos
52.1%

Draw
30.3%

Asteras Tripolis
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.2%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volos's performance.

Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asteras Tripolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volos than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asteras Tripolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

Volos - Asteras Tripolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Volos will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Volos (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Volos (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Volos (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Siampanis M. (C) 2. Soria C. 30. Hermannsson H. 4. Kargas G. 25. Fortuna N. 16. Martinez D. 20. Comba M. 8. Joca 10. Juanpi 7. Lamprou L. 9. Hamulic S.	1. Papadopoulos N. (G) 72. Fernandez D. 2. Ivanov R. 3. Sipcic N. 4. Sylla I. 22. Munoz Mumo 10. Gonzalez E. 40. Ketu K. 20. Kaltsas N. (C) 32. Mendieta J. 41. Macheda F.
Substitutes
99. Adeleye A. (G) 77. Assehnoun J. 18. Bouzoukis G. 17. Grosdis V. 29. Kyrkos I. 5. Lagonidis G. 19. Makni N. 22. Mygas G. 27. Prountzos G. 66. Sinanaj M. 89. Triantafyllou A. 11. Zarzana A.	69. Alagbe O. 17. Alho N. 68. Almyras C. 71. Angelidis S. (G) 7. Bartolo J. 19. Castano P. 49. Charalampoglou G. 11. Emmanouilidis D. 29. Pomonis K. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 16. Tsintotas P. (G) 5. Yablonskiy E.
Coaches
Ferrando J.	Pantelidis S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Martinez D. 🟨,
14', Mendieta J. ↓, Bartolo J. ↑,
17', Macheda F. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Lamprou L. ⚽, Fortuna N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Comba M. 🟨,
63', Munoz Mumo ↓, Almyras C. ↑,
63', Ketu K. ↓, Emmanouilidis D. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Fortuna N. ⚽,
75', Kaltsas N. 🟨,
76', Sylla I. ↓, Pomonis K. ↑,
77', Pomonis K. 🟨,
77', Martinez D. ↓, Assehnoun J. ↑,
77', Bartolo J. ↓, Charalampoglou G. ↑,
81', Kargas G. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Macheda F. (Pen),
90', Lamprou L. ↓, Mygas G. ↑,
90', Joca ↓, Bouzoukis G. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volos won 3.

Volos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Asteras Tripolis is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Volos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Volos: Tsokanis A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Alagbe O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Volos won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Volos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volos FC
Greek Cup
16.09.25	Ilioupolis - Volos	1:3 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.25	Panetolikos - Volos	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Anagennisi Karditsa - Volos	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.25	Volos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Aris - Volos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL
- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Cup
17.09.25	AE Kifisia - Asteras Tripolis	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
14.09.25	Asteras Tripolis - AEL Larissa	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	AEK Athens - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.25	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
14.12.24	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1
25.08.24	Asteras Tripolis - Volos	0:1
16.03.24	Asteras Tripolis - Volos	0:2
14.01.24	Asteras Tripolis - Volos	1:0
24.09.23	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	1:2
Club Friendly
07.08.23	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	1:1
Greek Super League
21.12.22	Asteras Tripolis - Volos	0:0

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