Match Info

GREECE: Super League 2 - Round 13

Date: 16 December 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Monobala


	Asteras Tripolis B		Ilioupolis

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.76	3.05	2.78
	2.68	3.01	2.61	Watch
	3	3.25	2.3
	2.53	2.95	2.66
	2.65	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (4.28)	3.04 ↓ (3.4)	2.63 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis B
34.2%

Draw
30.5%

Ilioupolis
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

28.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.9%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Asteras Tripolis B's performance.

Ilioupolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilioupolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis B than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Asteras Tripolis B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilioupolis than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilioupolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Asteras Tripolis B - Ilioupolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Asteras B will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ilioupolis will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Asteras B: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Kallanxhi C. ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Manos D. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Super League 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Asteras B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ilioupolis is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ilioupolis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Asteras B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis B
Greek Super League 2
07.12.24	PAE Chania - Asteras Tripolis B	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Asteras Tripolis B - Panachaiki	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Panionios - Asteras Tripolis B	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Asteras Tripolis B - AEK B	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Asteras Tripolis B - Kalamata	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LWTWL
- GS Ilioupolis
Greek Super League 2
08.12.24	Panachaiki - Ilioupolis	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Ilioupolis - AEK B	3:3 ✺
25.11.24	Egaleo - Ilioupolis	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Panargiakos - Ilioupolis	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Ilioupolis - PAE Chania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
13.10.24	Ilioupolis - Asteras Tripolis B	1:0

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