Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 19

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Asti		Casale

	1	X	2
	1.04	14	26
	1.04	11.74	34.69
	1.02	8.5	34
	1.03	11.75	24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.65)	11.5 ↑ (3.52)	29.67 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asti
88.9%

Draw
8%

Casale
3.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Asti's performance.

Casale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-31.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Asti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casale than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Asti - Casale Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Asti will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Casale will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Asti: 47.7% – 95.1%.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

Asti is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Casale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Asti is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Asti won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Asti won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Asti
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.12.22	Asti - Chieri	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	PDHAE - Asti	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Asti - Fossano	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Derthona - Asti	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Asti - Castellanzese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTT
- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.12.22	Pinerolo - Casale	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	Casale - Unione Sanremo	0:3 ✺
27.11.22	Castanese - Casale	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Casale - Bra	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Legnano - Casale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
27.04.22	Asti - Casale	0:0
09.03.22	Casale - Asti	0:0

Asti - Casale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide