Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 28Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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Derthona |
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Asti |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.12 |
2.98 |
3.3 |
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2.3 |
2.79 |
3.21 |
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2.3 |
2.89 |
3.21 |
Watch |
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2.3 |
2.75 |
3 |
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2.3 |
3.14 |
3.14 |
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1.83 |
3.2 |
3.75 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (1.85) |
2.96 ↓ (3.25) |
3.27 ↓ (3.75) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derthona 41.5% | Draw 30.7% | Asti 27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derthona's form might have worsened.Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derthona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-4.3%)Derthona - Asti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Buongiorno D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', 🟥,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 1.Derthona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Asti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). Derthona could have a small edge in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Derthona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
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| 5 | Asti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 09.11.25 | Asti - Derthona | 2:3 | | 06.04.25 | Derthona - Asti | 0:1 | | 24.11.24 | Asti - Derthona | 1:0 | | 28.03.24 | Asti - Derthona | 2:1 | | 19.11.23 | Derthona - Asti | 0:1 | | 02.04.23 | Asti - Derthona | 2:1 | | 20.11.22 | Derthona - Asti | 1:1 |
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