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Current Win Probability
Derthona 40.2%
Draw 29%
Asti 30.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.5%
28.3%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
27.1%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derthona's form might have worsened.
Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Asti's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derthona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derthona - Asti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Derthona holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Derthona has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:13 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Derthona against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
Watch
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