Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Asti		Celle Varazze

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.1	2.88
	2.12	3.26	3.06
	2.15	3.31	3.07	Watch
	2.2	2.9	2.9
	2.14	3.2	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.52)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	3.01 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asti
41.4%

Draw
28.6%

Celle Varazze
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Asti's performance.

Celle Varazze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celle Varazze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celle Varazze than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Asti - Celle Varazze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Donaggio L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 1, Di Maira F. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Asti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Celle Varazze is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Asti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Asti	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
18	Celle Varazze	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Asti
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.03.26	Derthona - Asti	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Asti - Varese	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Unione Sanremo - Asti	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Biellese - Asti	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Asti - NovaRomentin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWLW
- Celle Varazze
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.03.26	Celle Varazze - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Biellese - Celle Varazze	6:1 ✺
01.03.26	Celle Varazze - NovaRomentin	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Chisola - Celle Varazze	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Celle Varazze - Cairese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
26.11.25	Celle Varazze - Asti	2:0

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