Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 27Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Asti |
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Varese |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3 |
3 |
2.22 |
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3.02 |
3.01 |
2.27 |
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3.03 |
3.12 |
2.26 |
 Watch |
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3 |
2.8 |
2.25 |
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3.12 |
3.22 |
2.29 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.1) |
3.03 ↓
(3.18) |
2.26 ↑
(2.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Asti
29.9% | Draw
29.9% | Varese
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+3%)Asti - Varese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Sovogui A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asti won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Varese could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Asti won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).Including home matches between the teams, Asti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Asti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Varese - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 02.11.25 | Varese - Asti | 0:2 | | 23.02.25 | Varese - Asti | 1:1 | | 23.10.24 | Asti - Varese | 1:0 | | 28.01.24 | Varese - Asti | 3:0 | | 06.03.22 | Asti - Varese | 1:1 | | 24.10.21 | Varese - Asti | 1:1 |
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