Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 11Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday
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 |
|
 |
|
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Asti |
|
Derthona |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.1 |
3.05 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.12 |
3.29 |
|
 |
2.17 |
3.31 |
3.04 |
 Watch |
 |
2.14 |
3.14 |
3.17 |
|
 |
2.14 |
3.25 |
3.1 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.12) |
3.18 ↓
(3.2) |
3.13 ↑
(3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Asti
42.5% | Draw
28.5% | Derthona
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-0.7%)Asti - Derthona Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Asti (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Chillemi S. ⚽,
- 6', 2 - 0, Podesta C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asti won 5.Asti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Derthona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Asti could have a small edge in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Asti won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Asti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Derthona - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.83%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 06.04.25 | Derthona - Asti | 0:1 | | 24.11.24 | Asti - Derthona | 1:0 | | 28.03.24 | Asti - Derthona | 2:1 | | 19.11.23 | Derthona - Asti | 0:1 | | 02.04.23 | Asti - Derthona | 2:1 | | 20.11.22 | Derthona - Asti | 1:1 | | 20.02.22 | Asti - Derthona | 2:3 |
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