Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Asti		Imperia

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.39	3.25	Watch
	2.37	2.99	2.9
	1.76	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.76)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	3.45 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asti
45%

Draw
28.2%

Imperia
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Asti's form might have worsened.

Imperia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Imperia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Asti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Imperia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Asti - Imperia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Imperia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Asti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Asti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Asti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Asti
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Asti - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
09.11.25	Asti - Derthona	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Varese - Asti	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Asti - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	NovaRomentin - Asti	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLWWW
- ASD Imperia
Italian Serie D - Group A
09.11.25	Biellese - Imperia	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Imperia - Lavagnese	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Chisola - Imperia	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Imperia - Gozzano	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Valenzana Mado - Imperia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
13.10.24	Asti - Imperia	1:0
16.02.22	Imperia - Asti	0:0

Asti - Imperia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide