Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE CUP

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Aston Villa U21		Hull City U21

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Aston Villa U21
73.2%

Draw
16%

Hull City U21
10.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa U21's performance.

Hull City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City U21 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Aston Villa U21 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hull U21 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aston Villa U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aston Villa U21 is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa U21
English Premier League 2
29.09.23	Aston Villa U21 - Sunderland U21	2:3 ✺
24.09.23	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Sutton United - Aston Villa U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League Cup
15.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
01.09.23	Aston Villa U21 - Derby County U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTW
- Hull City U21
English Professional Development League
02.10.23	Sheffield United U21 - Hull City U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
29.09.23	Swansea City U21 - Hull City U21	4:0 ✺
English Professional Development League
25.09.23	Hull City U21 - Coventry City U21	1:2 ✺
18.09.23	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Hull City U21	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Hull City U21 - Bournemouth U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Aston Villa U21 - Hull City U21