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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa U21 58.4%
Draw 21.4%
Sunderland U21 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
23%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
22.4%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa U21's performance.
Sunderland U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aston Villa U21 - Sunderland U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Asemota O. (G) 2. McWilliams A. 4. Carroll T. 5. Routh L. 3. Fortes R. 6. Borland A. (C) 8. Kone M. 7. Burrowes B. 10. Brannigan C. 11. Broggio B. 9. Wilson R.
1. Allan I. (G) 2. Holcroft F. 6. Kindon B. 5. Anderson J. 3. Jones J. 7. Burke M. 8. Middlemas B. (C) 4. Moore E. 10. Whittaker J. 11. Tuterov T. 9. Geragusian F.
Substitutes
14. Burgess W. 12. Cotcher M. 15. Moreland C. 16. Mulley T. 13. Oakley R. (G)
13. Cowan J. 14. Jones J. 12. Lightfoot A. 16. Scott F.
Coaches
Shan J.
Murty G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Wilson R. ⚽, Burrowes B. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Kone M. ⚽,
38', Broggio B. 🟨,
45+3', Anderson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', Tuterov T. (Pen),
57', 2 - 1, Tuterov T. ⚽, Middlemas B. (A),
58', 3 - 1, Burrowes B. ⚽,
60', 3 - 2, Geragusian F. ⚽,
61', Brannigan C. ↓, Cotcher M. ↑,
64', Kone M. 🟨,
65', Geragusian F. (Pen),
67', Tuterov T. ↓, Scott F. ↑,
68', 3 - 3, Middlemas B. ⚽,
71', Borland A. 🟨,
73', Kone M. ↓, Burgess W. ↑,
81', Burke M. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
81', Moore E. ↓, Lightfoot A. ↑,
81', Wilson R. ↓, Mulley T. ↑,
89', Middlemas B. 🟨,
Preview
In recent matches, Aston Villa U21 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sunderland U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Sunderland U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 3.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 3.3:3).
Watch
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Asemota O. (G) 
Fortes R. 
Borland A. (C) 
Kone M. 
Brannigan C. 
Tuterov T. 
Geragusian F. 
Burgess W. 
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