The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa U21 59.8%
Draw 18%
Reading U21 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
21.1%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
19.3%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa U21's performance.
Reading U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading U21 than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reading U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aston Villa U21 - Reading U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Emery L. (G) 2. Rowe T. 4. Katsukunya T. 5. Amundsen-Day E. 3. Taylor K. 8. Borland A. 6. Alcock T. (C) 7. Pierre K. 10. Jimoh-Aloba J. 11. Pavey C. 9. Burrowes B.
1. Norcott T. (G) 2. Ahmed A. 5. Stickland M. (C) 6. Borgnis J. 3. Beacroft B. 4. Senga-Ngoyi J. 8. Wellens C. 7. Akande A. 10. Sackey T. 11. Osho E. 9. Okine-Peters J.
Substitutes
14. Barnes M. 15. Broggio B. 16. Cotcher M. 12. Fortes R. 13. Lewis S. (G)
14. Barough J. 15. Howard L. 13. Sharlott J. (G) 12. Spencer S. 16. Yiadom A.
Coaches
Gombau J.
Gilkes M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Sackey T. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Akande A. ⚽, Osho E. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Sackey T. ⚽, Osho E. (A),
45+1', Osho E. ↓, Barough J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jimoh-Aloba J. ↓, Fortes R. ↑,
46', Pierre K. ↓, Cotcher M. ↑,
57', Norcott T. 🟨,
63', Akande A. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
63', Borland A. ↓, Broggio B. ↑,
63', Amundsen-Day E. ↓, Barnes M. ↑,
65', Rowe T. 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Broggio B. ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, Sackey T. ⚽, Senga-Ngoyi J. (A),
80', Wellens C. ↓, Spencer S. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 25 and 22).
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Reading U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Aston Villa U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Aston Villa U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).
Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5
Watch
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Emery L. (G) 
Katsukunya T. 
Amundsen-Day E. 
Borland A. 
Senga-Ngoyi J. 
Akande A. 
Yiadom A. 
Gombau J. 
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