The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading U21 60.4%
Draw 20.3%
Stoke City U21 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
21.2%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
20.1%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading U21 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Reading U21 - Stoke City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rhone H. (G) 2. Osho E. 6. Sackey T. 5. Duah P. (C) 3. Abrefa K. 8. Hicks D. 4. Rinomhota A. 7. Smith K. 10. Camara M. 11. Jones J. 9. Evans R.
1. Clothier C. (G) 2. Phillips S. 4. Mcwilliams J. 5. Otegbayo R. 3. Agina S. 8. Gromek W. 6. Kelly G. (C) 7. Martin T. 10. Enabulele O. 11. Chibueze C. 9. Osei Kyremeh J.
Substitutes
14. Cliff C. 12. Harrison S. 15. Howard L. 16. Okine-Peters J. 13. Welland J. (G)
13. Cooper N. (G) 14. Fearn E. 15. Maskall J. 16. Matondo J. 12. Oppong F.
Coaches
Scott P.
Lawrence L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Martin T. ↓, Fearn E. ↑,
21', Gromek W. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Evans R. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Camara M. ↓, Howard L. ↑,
45+10', Phillips S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kelly G. ↓, Matondo J. ↑,
46', Rinomhota A. ↓, Okine-Peters J. ↑,
52', Hicks D. 🟨,
63', Jones J. ↓, Cliff C. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Evans R. ⚽,
65', Osei Kyremeh J. ↓, Maskall J. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Evans R. ⚽,
72', Evans R. ↓, Harrison S. ↑,
78', Mcwilliams J. ↓, Oppong F. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 25 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Reading U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Stoke U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Stoke U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Reading U21 is a strong favorite.
We predict that Reading U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading U21 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Reading U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).