Match Info

Date: 1 April 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Aston Villa U23		Stoke City U23

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.29	3.3	2.55
	2.45	3.49	2.61
	2.44	3.48	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.45)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	2.54 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa U23
37.6%

Draw
26.6%

Stoke City U23
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

25.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Stoke City U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Aston Villa U23 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U23 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa U23 won 2.

Aston Villa U23 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stoke U23 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aston Villa U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Aston Villa U23 won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa U23
English Premier League 2
18.03.22	Wolverhampton U23 - Aston Villa U23	3:0 ✺
11.03.22	Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23	2:2 ✺
25.02.22	Fulham U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:1 ✺
21.02.22	Aston Villa U23 - Norwich City U23	2:0 ✺
07.02.22	Nottingham Forest U23 - Aston Villa U23	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWL
- Stoke City U23
English Premier League 2
25.03.22	Stoke City U23 - Norwich City U23	0:4 ✺
21.03.22	Stoke City U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	2:1 ✺
14.03.22	Stoke City U23 - Middlesbrough U23	1:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
09.03.22	Huddersfield Town U23 - Stoke City U23	1:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
28.02.22	Sunderland U23 - Stoke City U23	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
27.09.21	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	0:8
19.03.21	Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23	3:4
23.11.20	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	0:2
16.09.19	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:0
17.12.18	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	3:2
14.09.18	Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23	0:3
02.04.18	Stoke City U23 - Aston Villa U23	1:3

Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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