Match Info

Date: 11 March 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Aston Villa U23		Southampton U23

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.6
	2.5	3.5	2.35
	2.32	3.4	2.47
	2.37	3.61	2.55
	2.53	3.68	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.66)	3.56 ↓ (3.89)	2.48 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa U23
38.1%

Draw
25.4%

Southampton U23
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

20%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa U23's form might have worsened.

Southampton U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U23 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U23 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa U23 won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently S`hampton U23 have a series of home games.

Aston Villa U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Aston Villa U23 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa U23 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa U23
English Premier League 2
25.02.22	Fulham U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:1 ✺
21.02.22	Aston Villa U23 - Norwich City U23	2:0 ✺
07.02.22	Nottingham Forest U23 - Aston Villa U23	4:1 ✺
31.01.22	Newcastle Utd U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:0 ✺
24.01.22	Aston Villa U23 - Reading U23	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLW
- Southampton U23
English Premier League 2
26.02.22	Southampton U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	4:2 ✺
21.02.22	Southampton U23 - Birmingham City U23	2:3 ✺
07.02.22	West Bromwich Albion U23 - Southampton U23	0:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
27.01.22	Southampton U23 - Bournemouth U23	0:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
23.01.22	Southampton U23 - Middlesbrough U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
31.10.21	Southampton U23 - Aston Villa U23	4:0
03.05.19	Southampton U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:0
07.12.18	Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23	2:1
21.09.18	Southampton U23 - Aston Villa U23	0:1
15.01.18	Southampton U23 - Aston Villa U23	1:4
11.09.17	Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23	4:0

Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

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