Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 16

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Astoria Walldorf		VfR Aalen

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.16	3.65	3.2
	2.16	3.55	3.2
	2.3	3.6	2.45
	2.08	3.65	3.08
	2.07	3.55	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.41)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	3 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astoria Walldorf
43.2%

Draw
25.9%

VfR Aalen
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

25.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

25.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astoria Walldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

VfR Aalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VfR Aalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astoria Walldorf than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VfR Aalen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Walldorf won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Walldorf won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Walldorf won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astoria Walldorf
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.10.23	Stuttgarter Kickers - Astoria Walldorf	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Astoria Walldorf - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Mainz II - Astoria Walldorf	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Astoria Walldorf - Hessen Kassel	0:1 ✺
04.10.23	TuS Koblenz - Astoria Walldorf	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLWLW
- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.10.23	VfR Aalen - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	VfR Aalen - Bahlinger	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Schott Mainz - VfR Aalen	2:3 ✺
03.10.23	VfR Aalen - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
24.03.23	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	1:1
14.09.22	VfR Aalen - Astoria Walldorf	2:2
14.05.22	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	0:2
20.11.21	VfR Aalen - Astoria Walldorf	1:4
04.05.21	VfR Aalen - Astoria Walldorf	2:1
16.01.21	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	1:0
27.09.19	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	1:0

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