Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday

Location: El-Gazel Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)


	Ghazl El Mahalla		Aswan

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	2.95
	2.55	2.75	2.9
	2.5	2.8	3.48
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.34	3.16	3.16	Watch
	2.46	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.85)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	3.13 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl El Mahalla
38.4%

Draw
32%

Aswan
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

33.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

32.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ghazl El Mahalla's performance.

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ghazl El Mahalla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	55.6%	16.7%

Ghazl El Mahalla - Aswan Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Aswan will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ghazl El Mahalla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
21.02.23	Ismaily - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
10.02.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:3 ✺
05.02.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - Haras El-Hodood	1:2 ✺
30.01.23	National Bank of Egypt - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:2 ✺
24.01.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLLTW
- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
21.02.23	Aswan - Al Ahly Cairo	0:3 ✺
09.02.23	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Aswan	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	El Dakhleya - Aswan	1:2 ✺
27.01.23	Aswan - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:2 ✺
23.01.23	Aswan - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
19.11.22	Aswan - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:1 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
29.10.22	Aswan - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:1
25.05.21	Aswan - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0
14.01.21	Aswan - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1
08.03.16	Ghazl El Mahalla - Aswan	0:1
08.11.15	Aswan - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0

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