Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		National Bank of Egypt

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.75	2.15
	3.5	2.65	2.28
	3.87	2.79	2.33
	3.4	2.75	2.25
	3.84	2.75	2.29	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.72)	2.77 ↓ (2.95)	2.25 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
25.7%

Draw
33.3%

National Bank of Egypt
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

33%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aswan's form might have worsened.

National Bank of Egypt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting National Bank of Egypt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aswan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Bank of Egypt than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for National Bank of Egypt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	43.7%	31.2%

Aswan - National Bank of Egypt Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Aswan will win (votes: 4 - 25%). National Bank will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 13 and 15).

Aswan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches National Bank of Egypt is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently National Bank of Egypt have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aswan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Aswan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
18.05.23	Zamalek - Aswan	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
07.05.23	El Dakhleya - Aswan	3:2 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
03.05.23	Aswan - Al Masry	3:1 ✺
18.04.23	ENPPI - Aswan	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Aswan - Pyramids	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- National Bank of Egypt SC
Egyptian Premier League
17.05.23	National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
08.05.23	National Bank of Egypt - Shoban Moslemen Qena	3:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
04.05.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - National Bank of Egypt	1:1 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
30.04.23	National Bank of Egypt - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:3 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
25.04.23	National Bank of Egypt - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
08.01.23	National Bank of Egypt - Aswan	0:0
Egyptian Cup
13.03.22	National Bank of Egypt - Aswan	1:0
Egyptian Premier League
12.08.21	National Bank of Egypt - Aswan	2:2
28.02.21	Aswan - National Bank of Egypt	0:2

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