Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		Al Masry

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2
	3.35	3	2.1
	4.17	2.96	2.14
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.68	3.2	2.1
	3.75	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.82)	3.05 ↑ (2.99)	2.07 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
25.2%

Draw
30.2%

Al Masry
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

31.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aswan's form might have worsened.

Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Masry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aswan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Masry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Aswan - Al Masry Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aswan will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Al Masry will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Masry: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aswan won 2.

Aswan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Masry is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Masry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Aswan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Aswan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
18.04.23	ENPPI - Aswan	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Aswan - Pyramids	0:3 ✺
07.04.23	Aswan - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
04.04.23	Aswan - Smouha	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	Pharco - Aswan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTT
- Al Masry Club
Egyptian League Cup
29.04.23	Al Masry - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
25.04.23	National Bank of Egypt - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
20.04.23	Al Masry - Ismaily	1:2 ✺
13.04.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
07.04.23	Al Masry - Haras El-Hodood	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
29.12.22	Al Masry - Aswan	1:2
Egyptian Cup
31.05.21	Aswan - Al Masry	3:2 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
05.05.21	Aswan - Al Masry	2:3
21.12.20	Al Masry - Aswan	3:0
28.09.20	Aswan - Al Masry	0:1
16.01.20	Al Masry - Aswan	2:2
26.05.17	Aswan - Al Masry	1:2

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