Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Referee: Youssef M. (Egy)


	Zamalek		Aswan

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.63	3.4	4.9
	1.7	3.66	5.28
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.71	3.7	4.9	Watch
	1.73	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	4.8 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamalek
54.9%

Draw
25.9%

Aswan
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamalek's performance.

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aswan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamalek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

Zamalek - Aswan Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Aswan will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zamalek won 2.

Zamalek is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aswan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zamalek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zamalek is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Zamalek won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamalek won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League
13.05.23	Ismaily - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
Egyptian Cup
09.05.23	Zamalek - Proxy	3:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
26.04.23	Zamalek - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:0 ✺
17.04.23	Zamalek - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:2 ✺
13.04.23	Haras El-Hodood - Zamalek	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWTW
- Aswan SC
Egyptian Cup
07.05.23	El Dakhleya - Aswan	3:2 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
03.05.23	Aswan - Al Masry	3:1 ✺
18.04.23	ENPPI - Aswan	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Aswan - Pyramids	0:3 ✺
07.04.23	Aswan - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
02.01.23	Aswan - Zamalek	2:1
Egyptian Cup
23.05.22	Zamalek - Aswan	2:1
Egyptian Premier League
17.06.21	Zamalek - Aswan	3:0
23.01.21	Aswan - Zamalek	0:0
18.09.20	Aswan - Zamalek	1:0
02.01.20	Zamalek - Aswan	2:0
15.06.17	Zamalek - Aswan	1:0

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