Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport Calcio


	Atalanta U23		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.45	2.78
	2.44	3.63	2.63
	4.39	1.89	3.13	Watch
	2.26	3.4	2.76	Watch
	1.94	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.91)	3.13 ↓ (3.23)	2.83 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
35.8%

Draw
30.4%

Crotone
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta U23's form might have worsened.

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Atalanta U23 - Crotone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 37. Navarro A. 6. Comi P. 18. Guerini A. 66. Bergonzi F. (C) 8. Pounga D. K. 47. Levak S. 24. Ghislandi D. 10. Cortinovis A. 99. Vavassori D. 9. Misitano G.	1. Merelli D. (G) 28. Andreoni C. 6. Di Pasquale D. 20. Berra F. 23. Groppelli F. 16. Gallo A. 21. Sandri M. 96. Zunno M. 11. Murano J. 27. Maggio M. 9. Gomez G. (C)
Substitutes
4. Berto G. 20. Bono D. 94. Camara H. 14. Cisse M. 40. Colombo M. 29. Leandri M. 82. Lonardo E. 7. Manzoni A. 80. Mencaraglia F. 74. Papadopoulos C. 2. Plaia M. 22. Sassi J. (G) 23. Tornaghi P. 17. Torriani A. (G)	80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 5. Cargnelutti R. 72. Cocetta N. 25. Guerra W. 2. Leo D. 19. Marazzotti F. 33. Perlingieri M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 7. Vinicius 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Guerini A. 🟨,
13', Ghislandi D. ↓, Berto G. ↑,
15', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Maggio M. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
46', Misitano G. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
51', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Cargnelutti R. ↑,
66', Gallo A. ↓, Vinicius ↑,
68', Misitano G. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Andreoni C. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Berto G. ⚽,
82', Zunno M. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
82', Murano J. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Gomez G. ⚽,
89', Cortinovis A. ↓, Papadopoulos C. ↑,
89', Navarro A. ↓, Camara H. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Atalanta U23 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crotone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atalanta U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atalanta U23 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
21.09.25	Benevento - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Salernitana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Altamura	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Atalanta U23 - Casarano	6:2 ✺
24.08.25	Latina - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTWL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
20.09.25	Crotone - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Altamura - Crotone	0:4 ✺
25.08.25	Crotone - Benevento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTWL

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