The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Potenza 31.6%
Draw 29%
Crotone 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
29.9%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
30.1%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potenza's form might have worsened.
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Potenza - Crotone Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Alastra F. (G) 35. Novella M. 14. Riggio C. 15. Camigliano A. 19. Balzano M. 28. Maisto F. 5. Lucas Martello 23. De Marco A. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G. 92. Bruschi N.
61. Sala A. (G) 72. Cocetta N. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 32. Calvano S. 7. Vinicius 96. Zunno M. 9. Gomez G. 10. Ricci F. 33. Perlingieri M.
Substitutes
98. Adjapong C. 24. Bachini M. 47. Bura R. 17. Cucchietti T. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 11. Mazzeo L. 20. Ragone G. 3. Rocchetti Y. 89. Santucci G. 4. Sciacca G. 31. Siatounis A.
80. Bruno K. 16. Gallo A. 27. Maggio M. 19. Marazzotti F. 1. Merelli D. (G) 11. Murano J. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 21. Sandri M. 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Camigliano A. ↓, Bura R. ↑,
18', Ricci F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Bruschi N. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Selleri G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Calvano S. ↓, Sandri M. ↑,
46', Cargnelutti R. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
46', Perlingieri M. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Maisto F. ⚽, Bruschi N. (A),
51', 2 - 1, Murano J. ⚽,
58', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
62', Petrungaro L. 🟨,
64', Ricci F. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
66', Guerra W. 🟨,
73', Vinicius ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
78', De Marco A. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
78', Lucas Martello ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Selleri G. ⚽,
90', Petrungaro L. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
90', Selleri G. ↓, Bachini M. ↑,
90+7', Sandri M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 0.
Potenza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Crotone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Crotone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Potenza - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.12%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Crotone - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 31.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Alastra F. (G) 
Lucas Martello 
Siatounis A. 
