Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Benevento		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.75
	1.58	3.99	5.86
	1.65	3.78	4.90	Watch
	1.58	3.9	5.64	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.79 ↑ (3.55)	5.13 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
57.3%

Draw
24.6%

Atalanta U23
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

25.8%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

24.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Benevento - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 20. Ceresoli A. 11. Lamesta D. 8. Maita M. (C) 10. Manconi J. 77. Pierozzi E. 4. Prisco A. 41. Ricci G. 23. Saio P. 9. Salvemini F. 14. Scognamillo S.	95. Vismara P. (G) 66. Bergonzi F. (C) 4. Berto G. 14. Cisse M. 40. Colombo M. 6. Comi P. 10. Cortinovis A. 24. Ghislandi D. 18. Guerini A. 8. Pounga D. K. 99. Vavassori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Saio P. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Manconi J. ⚽,
43', Bergonzi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guerini A. ↓, Plaia M. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Salvemini F. ⚽,
60', Pounga D. K. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,
60', Vavassori D. ↓, Papadopoulos C. ↑,
64', Prisco A. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
73', Cortinovis A. ↓, Misitano G. ↑,
75', Manconi J. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
76', Berto G. 🟨,
78', Colombo M. ↓, Riccio L. ↑,
81', Ceresoli A. ↓, Borghini D. ↑,
82', Salvemini F. ↓, Tumminello M. ↑,
82', Lamesta D. ↓, Carfora L. ↑,
90', Papadopoulos C. 🟨,

Preview

Benevento is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Atalanta U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atalanta U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Benevento is the team to beat.

We predict that Benevento will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Benevento - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
13.09.25	Siracusa - Benevento	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Casarano - Benevento	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Benevento - Casertana	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Crotone - Benevento	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Benevento - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
17.09.25	Salernitana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Altamura	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Atalanta U23 - Casarano	6:2 ✺
24.08.25	Latina - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Giana Erminio - Atalanta U23	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLW

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