Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio 9 de Julio (Río Cuarto) 🌤️ ...


	Atenas Río Cuarto		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.94	4.73
	2.09	3.29	3.44	Watch
	1.85	2.94	4.6
	2.11	2.96	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)	4.07 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas Río Cuarto
46.9%

Draw
30.4%

Sarmiento de La Banda
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Atenas Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Geist C. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 2. Araya F. 11. Arguello M. 3. Fernandez A. 10. Hernandez A. 7. Martinez M. 8. Mucignat F. 9. Pagliaricci T. 6. Peralta F. 4. Perez L.	1. Mendonca J. (G) 8. Caviglia J. 9. Dominguez M. 2. Herrera R. 7. Lezcano L. 3. Ochoa A. 11. Pinto A. 10. Roldan I. 5. Sanchez Arriola M. 4. Solveyra A. 6. Vaschetto J.
Substitutes
14. Abayay S. 17. Azcurra G. 16. Felippa M. 12. Herrera F. 19. Mana M. 18. Pedrueza L. 15. Rins S. 13. Romero J. 20. Tuset M.	12. Acuna F. (G) 13. Araujo C. 20. Arias J. 19. Garzon I. 14. Guzman G. 15. Lopez P. 16. Tevez A. 18. Veliz R. 17. Zaineddin L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. ⚽,
69', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarmiento La Banda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atenas Río Cuarto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atenas Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Atenas Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.10.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de Resistencia	4:0 ✺
03.10.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Cipolletti	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLTT
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - San Martín de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.08.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1

Atenas Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de La Banda