Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Resistencia)


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Atenas Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.65	3.4
	2.12	2.72	3.65
	2.2	2.6	3.74
	2.33	2.59	3.87	Watch
	2.23	2.85	3.72	Watch
	2.12	2.7	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.97)	2.69 ↓ (2.9)	3.66 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
41.3%

Draw
33.9%

Atenas Río Cuarto
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

31.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atenas Río Cuarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Almiron C. 11. Arriola C. 5. Bacas T. 2. Berlo B. 1. Gonzalez D. 10. Gonzalez G. 9. Gonzalez H. H. 4. Lopez R. 8. Niz L. 7. Pared M. 3. Piccioni S.	1. Geist C. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 2. Araya F. 3. Fernandez A. 10. Hernandez A. 7. Martinez M. 8. Mucignat F. 6. Peralta F. 4. Perez L. 11. Rins S. 9. Tuset M.
Substitutes
16. Ayala M. 14. Di Pietro C. 13. Dominguez F. 17. Gimenez R. 15. Martinez P. 18. Montenegro R. 20. Parera S. 19. Vargas H. 12. Yacaruso G. (G)	14. Abayay S. 18. Azcurra G. 15. Felippa M. 12. Herrera F. 19. Mana M. 20. Muchut P. 16. Pagliaricci T. 17. Pedrueza L. 13. Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', 🟨,
14', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
41', Piccioni S. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Peralta F. ⚽,
56', Tuset M. ↓, Mana M. ↑,
76', 🟨,
77', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarmiento will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Bartolomé Mitre	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Crucero del Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:3 ✺
31.08.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - El Linqueño	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWL
- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Cipolletti	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Costa Brava - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTTT

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atenas Río Cuarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide