Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciudad de La Banda (La Banda)


	Sarmiento de La Banda		San Martín de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5.3
	1.53	3.33	6.18
	1.74	3.14	5.52	Watch
	1.56	3.41	6.02
	1.52	3.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.66)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	5.87 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
57.2%

Draw
27.3%

San Martín de Mendoza
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.4%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

San Martín de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+2%)

Sarmiento de La Banda - San Martín de Mendoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendonca J. (G) 8. Caviglia J. 9. Dominguez M. 2. Herrera R. 10. Lezcano L. 3. Ochoa A. 11. Pinto A. 5. Sanchez Arriola M. 4. Solveyra A. 6. Triverio G. 7. Vega C.	1. Grinovero A. (G) 3. Almeida J. 6. Bernabe N. 8. Castro I. 5. Decimo E. 10. Mancini V. 11. Marital J. 4. Mercado V. 7. Paz I. 9. Rivarola F. 2. Ruiz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Sanchez Arriola M. 🟨,
45+3', Mancini V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marital J. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
46', Arias J. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
57', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Roldan I. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Rivarola F. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Sarmiento La Banda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarmiento La Banda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.10.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLWL
- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.10.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sol de Mayo - San Martín de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.10.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0

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