Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 26

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Atert Bissen		Mamer

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.7	12
	1.08	9.59	23.01
	1.1	8.22	18.03	Watch
	1.1	7.5	23
	1.14	9.19	12.3
	1.43	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.39)	7.4 ↑ (4.48)	15.69 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atert Bissen
81.1%

Draw
12.8%

Mamer
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

20.3%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

19.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atert Bissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atert Bissen's performance.

Mamer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atert Bissen than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atert Bissen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atert Bissen - Mamer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Gourari Tebaa Y. (G) 21. Abi Ramzi K. 41. Almada Correia L. 97. Eddarraj R. 30. Ferber R. 5. Louriz Z. 6. Marasi L. 10. Santos Guimares A. (C) 22. Silva B. 20. Terki M. 39. Zeghdane T.	1. Bonet P. (G) 30. Agnoly M. 19. Badji D. 17. Baillet B. 54. Biagui Y. 13. Chibani B. 4. Freire N. (C) 27. Maurice J. 97. Montout L. 28. Schmit B. 18. Zilli Q.
Substitutes
27. Cabral K. 35. Djalo M. 7. Fernandes R. 88. Lopes H. (G) 4. Mannone Y. 8. Rastoder E. 77. Rodrigues da Cruz J.	8. Bahovic A. 16. Colombo D. (G) 29. da Costa Batista D. 22. Ezan A. 20. Mendes Y. 9. Muric D. 99. Rapaille L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Louriz Z. 🟨,
35', Gourari Tebaa Y. 🟨,
36', Badji D. 🟨,
36', Louriz Z. 🟨,
38', Almada Correia L. ↓, Rodrigues da Cruz J. ↑,
41', Agnoly M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Silva B. ↓, Mannone Y. ↑,
48', Eddarraj R. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Rodrigues da Cruz J. ⚽,
62', 2 - 0, Santos Guimares A. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Biagui Y. ⚽,
65', Eddarraj R. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
66', Badji D. ↓, da Costa Batista D. ↑,
66', Maurice J. ↓, Mendes Y. ↑,
75', Abi Ramzi K. 🟨,
86', Ferber R. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
90+1', Freire N. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Montout L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Bissen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mamer has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bissen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bissen is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bissen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Bissen	8	5	0	3	18:11	7	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atert Bissen
Luxembourg Cup
22.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
19.04.26	Hostert - Atert Bissen	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Käerjéng 97 - Atert Bissen	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	UNA Strassen - Atert Bissen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWT
- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
19.04.26	Mamer - Käerjéng 97	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mamer - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pétange - Mamer	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Mamer - Victoria Rosport	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Mamer - Atert Bissen	1:4

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