Match Info

Date: 23 June 2022, Thursday


	Athletic 220		Ulaanbaatar City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	4.5	1.44
	4	4.6	1.55
	4.1	4.25	1.53
	3.67	5.08	1.45
	5.25	4.5	1.44
	5.6	5	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (2.37)	4.66 ↑ (3.75)	1.47 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic 220
19.5%

Draw
19.3%

Ulaanbaatar City
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

23.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

23%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic 220 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic 220's form might have worsened.

Ulaanbaatar City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulaanbaatar City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic 220 than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic 220, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulaanbaatar City than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulaanbaatar City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	18.7%	68.7%

Athletic 220 - Ulaanbaatar City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Athletic 220 will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Ulaanbaatar City will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulaanbaatar City: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

Athletic 220 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ulaanbaatar City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletic 220 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ulaanbaatar City is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic 220 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic 220 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic 220 FC
Mongolian Premier League
19.06.22	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Athletic 220	2:1 ✺
16.06.22	Athletic 220 - Ulaanbaatar	1:4 ✺
22.05.22	Falcons - Athletic 220	0:2 ✺
19.05.22	Athletic 220 - Deren	0:1 ✺
15.05.22	Tuv Buganuud - Athletic 220	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLL
- Ulaanbaatar City FC
Mongolian Premier League
20.06.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Khovd	1:1 ✺
17.06.22	BCH Lions - Ulaanbaatar City	2:8 ✺
22.05.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Khangarid	3:3 ✺
19.05.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Tuv Buganuud	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Ulaanbaatar City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
23.04.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Athletic 220	1:1
26.09.21	Ulaanbaatar City - Athletic 220	3:4
21.08.21	Athletic 220 - Ulaanbaatar City	2:1
05.09.20	Ulaanbaatar City - Athletic 220	0:3
26.07.20	Athletic 220 - Ulaanbaatar City	0:1

Athletic 220 - Ulaanbaatar City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide