Match Info

Date: 19 May 2022, Thursday


	Athletic 220		Deren

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.6
	4.25	3.9	1.6
	4.7	3.65	1.55
	4.04	3.41	1.61
	5.05	4.08	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (1.78)	3.79 ↑ (3.58)	1.58 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic 220
20.1%

Draw
23.6%

Deren
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

23.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic 220 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic 220's form might have worsened.

Deren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic 220 than the current prediction. (+28.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic 220, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deren than the current prediction. (-28.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	30%	70%

Athletic 220 - Deren Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deren will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deren: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 4).

Athletic 220 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deren in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic 220 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic 220 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic 220 FC
Mongolian Premier League
15.05.22	Tuv Buganuud - Athletic 220	3:2 ✺
11.05.22	Athletic 220 - Khovd	0:4 ✺
06.05.22	BCH Lions - Athletic 220	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Athletic 220 - Khangarid	0:0 ✺
23.04.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Athletic 220	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTT
- Deren FC
Mongolian Premier League
15.05.22	Deren - Khovd	5:0 ✺
11.05.22	Deren - BCH Lions	5:0 ✺
05.05.22	Khangarid - Deren	2:3 ✺
30.04.22	Deren - Ulaanbaatar City	2:1 ✺
23.04.22	Khaan Khuns-Erchim - Deren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
05.11.21	Deren - Athletic 220	1:1
23.09.21	Athletic 220 - Deren	0:1
18.08.21	Deren - Athletic 220	1:4
22.09.20	Athletic 220 - Deren	2:0
11.08.20	Deren - Athletic 220	1:3

Athletic 220 - Deren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide