Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Alavés B

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.9	4
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	1.97	2.98	3.6
	1.99	2.71	4.7
	1.93	3.1	4.22
	1.92	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.45)	2.96 ↓ (3.6)	4.15 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
47.1%

Draw
30.9%

Alavés B
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

25%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

24.3%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao B's form might have worsened.

Alavés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alavés B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alavés B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Athletic Bilbao B - Alavés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Athletic Bilbao B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Alavés B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alavés B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.02.24	Egüés - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Izarra	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Barbastro - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Utebo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Athletic Bilbao B - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTTT
- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.02.24	Alavés B - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Brea - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Alavés B - Gernika	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Real Sociedad C - Alavés B	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Alavés B - Náxara	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.10.23	Alavés B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2
Club Friendly
09.08.23	Alavés B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.02.21	Alavés B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2
14.11.20	Athletic Bilbao B - Alavés B	2:0
04.01.20	Athletic Bilbao B - Alavés B	1:0

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