Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Brea		Alavés B

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.61
	5	3.6	1.65	Watch
	4.71	3.35	1.62
	4.78	3.53	1.63
	5.7	3.6	1.6
	4.9	3.5	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↓ (5.69)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brea
18.1%

Draw
26%

Alavés B
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

26.4%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

25.6%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brea than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Brea - Alavés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Brea is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alavés B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alavés B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Brea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.01.24	Egüés - Brea	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Brea - Izarra	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Barbastro - Brea	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Brea	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	Brea - UD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLLL
- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.01.24	Alavés B - Gernika	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Real Sociedad C - Alavés B	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Alavés B - Náxara	5:1 ✺
07.01.24	Alavés B - Tudelano	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	Calahorra - Alavés B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.09.23	Alavés B - Brea	5:0
05.02.23	Alavés B - Brea	1:0
18.09.22	Brea - Alavés B	0:1

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