Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Leonesa		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.30	3.00
	2.08	3.40	3.15
	2.01	3.33	3.18
	3.33	3.55	2.00	Watch
	1.99	3.25	3.10
	2.07	3.47	3.29	Watch
	1.84	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.84)	3.44 ↓ (3.8)	3.05 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
42.4%

Draw
27%

Real Avilés
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

24.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leonesa's form might have worsened.

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Leonesa - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Abelenda B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 1, Escobar A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 3.

Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leonesa is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Leonesa - Burgos	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Leonesa - Eibar	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Albacete Balompié - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLWL
- Real Avilés
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Ponferradina - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
29.07.26	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Real Oviedo B - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26	Pontevedra - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Real Avilés - Barakaldo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.25	Real Avilés - Leonesa	2:2
07.08.24	Real Avilés - Leonesa	0:1
20.08.21	Real Avilés - Leonesa	0:4
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.02.15	Real Avilés - Leonesa	0:0
28.09.14	Leonesa - Real Avilés	2:0
06.01.14	Leonesa - Real Avilés	2:1
25.08.13	Real Avilés - Leonesa	1:1

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