Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Athletic Club		Nacional de Muriaé

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.95
	2.16	3.1	2.75
	2.15	3.2	2.85
	2.1	3.34	3.54
	2.08	3.32	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)	3.24 (3.24)	3.07 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
42.5%

Draw
28%

Nacional de Muriaé
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

19.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Nacional de Muriaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Club that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Muriaé than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional de Muriaé could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Club - Nacional de Muriaé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Athletic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
07.11.20	Athletic Club - Betim	2:2 ✺
31.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
24.10.20	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	3:1 ✺
21.10.20	Guarani MG - Athletic Club	1:4 ✺
10.10.20	CAP Uberlândia - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWWW
- Nacional de Muriaé
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
11.11.20	Betim - Nacional de Muriaé	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
24.10.20	Guarani MG - Nacional de Muriaé	0:3 ✺
21.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Mamoré	1:2 ✺
17.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
31.10.20	Nacional de Muriaé - Athletic Club	3:1

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