Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 6

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday


	Athletic Club		Santo André

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.8
	1.65	3.2	5
	1.57	3.36	5.62
	1.57	3.2	5.5
	1.6	3.58	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.92)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)	5.28 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
56.1%

Draw
26.9%

Santo André
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Club's performance.

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santo André might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Club that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santo André could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Club - Santo André Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie D
03.06.23	Vitória ES - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
27.05.23	Athletic Club - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
22.05.23	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Athletic Club - Portuguesa RJ	1:2 ✺
06.05.23	Nova Iguaçu - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW
- Santo André
Brazilian Serie D
03.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Santo André	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Santo André - Resende	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Nova Iguaçu - Santo André	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Santo André - Vitória ES	1:0 ✺
08.05.23	Democrata GV - Santo André	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWWT

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