Match Info

Mineiro - Round 3

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas (Governador Valadares)

Referee: Gomes V. (Bra)


	Democrata GV		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.1	Watch
	3.54	3.02	2.11	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.05
	3.69	2.77	2.14	Watch
	3.75	2.75	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.08)	2.88 ↓ (3.12)	2.12 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
25.6%

Draw
31.6%

Athletic Club
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Democrata GV - Athletic Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thulio (C) 2. Lucas Evangelista 3. Leo Dourado 4. Henrique 6. Bryan 8. Bernardo 5. Luiz Henrique 7. Giovanni Carignano 10. Mauricio Ferreira 11. Marcelinho 9. Marcio Jonatan	1. Eduardo Freire (G) 2. Zeca 3. Jhonatan Silva (C) 4. Indio G. 6. Enzo 8. Joao Oliveira 5. Cabezas G. 11. Luiz Filipe 10. David Braga 7. Kauan Lindes 9. Caicedo Nestor
Substitutes
27. Batata G. 19. Bismarck 20. Dudu Pedrotti 16. Elton 15. Felipe Alves 12. Gabriel Pezao (G) 25. Halls 18. Marco Antonio 23. Marcos 21. Pedro Silva 17. Richard Luca	16. Caick 17. da Silva Sinfronio G. 15. Douglas Pele 14. Edson Miranda 18. Felipe Vieira 13. Gabriel Ferreira 12. Glauco (G) 20. Leandro Alves 26. Robert (G) 19. Tavares R.
Coaches
Wladimir Araujo	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Lucas Evangelista 🟨,
45', Cabezas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cabezas G. ↓, da Silva Sinfronio G. ↑,
54', Marcio Jonatan ↓, Bismarck ↑,
54', Giovanni Carignano ↓, Elton ↑,
60', Marcelinho ↓, Richard Luca ↑,
60', Luiz Filipe ↓, Leandro Alves ↑,
60', David Braga ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
66', Jhonatan Silva ↓, Edson Miranda ↑,
69', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
71', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Halls ↑,
72', Mauricio Ferreira ↓, Dudu Pedrotti ↑,
78', Joao Oliveira ↓, Douglas Pele ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Democrata GV won 1.

Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Democrata GV won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Democrata GV won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.01.26	Democrata GV - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Itabirito - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWLTW
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.01.26	Athletic Club - URT	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Athletic Club - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Coritiba - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Athletic Club - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
21.02.25	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	1:0
16.02.25	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	1:0
22.05.23	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
03.02.23	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	1:1
19.02.22	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
24.10.20	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	3:1

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