Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 10

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Athletic Club		Vitória ES

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.57	3.5	5.15
	1.5	3.6	5.8
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.54	3.88	5.6
	1.63	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	3.6 ↑ (3.54)	5.12 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
57.3%

Draw
25.1%

Vitória ES
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Athletic Club - Vitória ES Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Club will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).

Athletic in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vitória ES is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Athletic to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie D
17.06.23	Santo André - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Athletic Club - Resende	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Resende - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	Athletic Club - Santo André	4:2 ✺
03.06.23	Vitória ES - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWW
- Vitória ES
Brazilian Serie D
17.06.23	Vitória ES - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Nova Iguaçu - Vitória ES	3:2 ✺
10.06.23	Vitória ES - Nova Iguaçu	3:2 ✺
07.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Vitória ES	3:2 ✺
03.06.23	Vitória ES - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.06.23	Vitória ES - Athletic Club	1:2

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