Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 9

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Athletico Paranaense U20		Corinthians U20

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	3.9
	1.68	3.85	4.1
	1.68	3.9	4.68
	1.63	4.06	4.4	Watch
	1.62	3.94	4.39
	1.68	3.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	3.9 ↑ (3.5)	4.26 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense U20
55.1%

Draw
23.4%

Corinthians U20
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

24.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

21.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense U20's performance.

Corinthians U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 - Corinthians U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Sorriso ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Kayke Ayrton ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Marezi L. ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, Gustavo Gomes ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 3.

Athletico PR U20 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Corinthians U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Athletico PR U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Athletico PR U20 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Athletico PR U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brazilian Paranaense U20
02.05.25	Patriotas U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	Cruzeiro U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Internacional U20	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
12.04.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Azuriz U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW
- Corinthians U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.05.25	Corinthians U20 - União São João U20	3:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	Corinthians U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
27.04.25	Sertãozinho U20 - Corinthians U20	2:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
24.04.25	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Corinthians U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
21.08.24	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Corinthians U20	5:0
05.06.22	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1
04.10.21	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:1
20.11.20	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Corinthians U20	4:0
Brazilian Copinha
17.01.20	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:0
Brasileiro U20
18.09.19	Corinthians U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1

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