Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Barueri (Barueri) 🌤️ ...


	Palmeiras U20		Corinthians U20

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.50
	1.41	4.25	5.60
	1.47	4.71	5.83
	1.4	4.76	6.08	Watch
	1.45	4.65	5.75
	1.40	4.40	6.24
	1.42	4.40	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.5 ↓ (4.75)	5.83 ↑ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Palmeiras U20
64.1%

Draw
20.3%

Corinthians U20
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

19.3%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

18.7%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Corinthians U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kauan Lima (G) 6. Andre Lucas 7. Fabiano 10. Felipe Teresa 9. Heittor Vinicius 2. Joao Gabriel 3. Joao Paulo 4. Kone M. 8. Luis Pacheco 5. Rafael Coutinho 11. Victor Gabriel	1. Matheus Correa (G) 8. Amorim Gui 7. Bahia 5. Caragua 6. Dias L. 10. Dieguinho 9. Gui Negao 11. Luiz Fernando 4. Machado I. 2. Pellegrin 3. Yago Melo
Substitutes
21. Antonio 19. Joao Paulo Mendonca 23. Joao Torres 16. Kaua Nunes 17. Kidani G. 15. Luccas Ramon 12. Luis Saboia 13. Matheus Pimenta 25. Romildo 14. Souza L. F. (G) 18. Tulio 20. Vinicius	15. Christian Oliveira 17. Cristian 19. Evaristo R. 21. Favela 20. Gustavo 14. Lorenzo 22. Nicolas Araujo 18. Nicollas 12. Nikao 16. Pires S. 13. Ribeiro C. 23. Thomas P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', Dias L. ↓, Pires S. ↑,
28', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
32', Gui Negao 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Felipe Teresa ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Felipe Teresa ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bahia ↓, Favela ↑,
57', Luis Pacheco ↓, Vinicius ↑,
60', Felipe Teresa ↓, Kidani G. ↑,
67', Joao Gabriel ↓, Luis Saboia ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Heittor Vinicius ⚽,
70', Kidani G. 🟨,
73', Caragua ↓, Thomas P. ↑,
73', Luiz Fernando ↓, Nicollas ↑,
77', Pellegrin 🟨,
82', Yago Melo ↓, Nicolas Araujo ↑,
90', Andre Lucas 🟨,
90+1', Amorim Gui 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 5.

Palmeiras U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Corinthians U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:9. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras U20 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.23%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
11.07.26	Palmeiras U20 - Capivariano U20	2:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.07.26	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.26	Porto Football Ltda U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.07.26	Palmeiras U20 - Cuiabá U20	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
27.06.26	Palmeiras U20 - Guarani U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLW
- Corinthians U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.07.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Corinthians U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.07.26	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.26	Corinthians U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.07.26	Juventude U20 - Corinthians U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
28.06.26	Santos U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
08.07.26	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1
19.05.26	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.25	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	3:0
Brasileiro U20
24.04.25	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	2:0
Brazilian Paulista U20
20.10.24	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	2:1
12.10.24	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:1
Brasileiro U20
09.04.24	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	2:0

Upcoming Matches