The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlètic Lleida 28.6%
Draw 31.3%
Alcoyano 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
29.9%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
28.3%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlètic Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcoyano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlètic Lleida that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcoyano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlètic Lleida - Alcoyano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Iniesta T. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Llinares I. ⚽,
45+2', Camara A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 2, Sidibe M. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Atlètic Lleida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alcoyano is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Alcoyano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlètic Lleida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Spain
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