Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 24

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Atlètic Lleida		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.98	3.5
	2.04	2.93	3.99
	2.05	3.07	3.66	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.14	3.23	3.44
	2	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)	2.99 ↑ (2.92)	3.7 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlètic Lleida
44.5%

Draw
30.7%

Barbastro
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

31.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlètic Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Barbastro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Atlètic Lleida - Barbastro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Samba ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Sidibe M. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Campins J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 2 - 2, Temenuzhkov K. ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, Fernandez A. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, Garros B. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlètic Lleida will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlètic Lleida won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Barbastro - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 23.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
15.02.26	Terrassa - Atlètic Lleida	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Atlètic Lleida - Olot	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Torrent - Atlètic Lleida	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Atlètic Lleida - Porreres	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Castellon B - Atlètic Lleida	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWT
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
15.02.26	Barbastro - Reus FC Reddis	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Barcelona B - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Barbastro - Poblense	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Valencia B - Barbastro	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Barbastro - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.10.25	Barbastro - Atlètic Lleida	1:1
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Barbastro - Atlètic Lleida	1:1

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