Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Castellon B		Atlètic Lleida

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.65	2.82
	2.06	4.14	2.77	Watch
	2.05	3.7	2.8
	2.1	4.41	2.73
	2.05	4.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 (2.07)	4.02 ↑ (3.74)	2.77 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellon B
44.2%

Draw
22.8%

Atlètic Lleida
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

24.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

24.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atlètic Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Castellon B - Atlètic Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Vargas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Montero M. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Ferrer Alarte M. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Sidibe M. ⚽,
76', Sidibe M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castellon B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon B	5	4	0	1	12:5	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Alcoyano - Castellon B	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Castellon B - Andratx	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sant Andreu - Castellon B	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Girona B - Castellon B	7:3 ✺
06.12.25	Castellon B - Barbastro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLL
- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Atlètic Lleida - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Atlètic Lleida - Reus FC Reddis	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Atlètic Lleida	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atlètic Lleida - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Poblense - Atlètic Lleida	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Castellon B	2:4

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