Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Barbastro		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.7	2.84	2.75	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.75
	2.69	2.82	2.6
	2.8	2.83	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.22)	2.82 ↓ (2.98)	2.66 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
33.7%

Draw
32.1%

Alcoyano
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30.3%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.5%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barbastro's performance.

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcoyano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barbastro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcoyano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barbastro - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Barbastro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcoyano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alcoyano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barbastro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alcoyano	5	3	1	1	6:4	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Alcoyano - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Atlético Baleares - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Barbastro - Sant Andreu	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Andratx - Barbastro	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Barbastro - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Castellon B - Barbastro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLW
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Alcoyano - Castellon B	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Torrent - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Alcoyano - Girona B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Espanyol B - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Alcoyano - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.10.25	Alcoyano - Barbastro	1:0

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