Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Atlètic Lleida		Poblense

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.92	2.72
	2.3	2.92	2.69
	2.65	2.83	2.8
	2.61	2.82	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.44)	2.87 ↓ (2.94)	2.72 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlètic Lleida
35.8%

Draw
31.2%

Poblense
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

31.1%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

30.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlètic Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlètic Lleida's performance.

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poblense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlètic Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poblense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlètic Lleida - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Penyafort T. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Prohens J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 2, Garros B. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Poblense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Poblense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlètic Lleida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Poblense	5	1	0	4	3:7	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Poblense - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.03.26	Sant Andreu - Atlètic Lleida	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Atlètic Lleida - Barbastro	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Terrassa - Atlètic Lleida	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Atlètic Lleida - Olot	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Torrent - Atlètic Lleida	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTLW
- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.02.26	Castellon B - Poblense	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Poblense - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Valencia B - Poblense	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Poblense - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Barbastro - Poblense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.12.25	Poblense - Atlètic Lleida	3:0

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